Category Archive: Op-Eds

Ad Hoc Commentary – Yellen 2014 Clinton 2016

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Earlier today, this was making the rounds on the grapevine: “…A source from Team Obama told CNBC that Larry Summers will likely be named chairman of the Federal Reserve in a few weeks… Continue reading

AFTER SEEING STARS, WE SEE A FULL MOON

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After seeing stars in the past week, we saw a Full Blue and Red Moon last night. A Blue Moon is the third full moon in a season with four (most seasons have… Continue reading

Tumbling Bonds, Stocks and Currencies = Opportunity ?

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It feels like the end of the world is upon us here in Asia. Perspective. Equity hit hard because it is usually the last to go. Just look at Jakarta Composite down 11… Continue reading

Ad Hoc Commentary – the Ghibli curse came true, Merkelections will save the rest of us

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As we wrote in on Aug 2: “…Once every few weeks—the next time is Friday—Nippon Television Network Corp airs a Ghibli movie in the prime Friday evening spot. During the trading session after… Continue reading

Macro Outlook & Flows : Fear Overtakes Greed

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Do Not Feel Alone. It is ugly out there. Imagine Citi FX Headlines going Tough Times – Position Cutting in G10, EM Undiversified. It is true. “The costs of holding risk is increasing,… Continue reading

Singapore Market Developments & Implications

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  Heavy week with heavy repercussions on the domestic front. We started with a bang and a resounding 2Q GDP but forecasts of a slowdown going ahead. “·         MTI forecast raised to 2.5-3.5%,… Continue reading

Ad Hoc Commentary – the investment-less recovery

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As we mentioned before: “…Abenomics thinks that inflation will chase money out of hoarding into investments. What he forgot is that the Senkaku-Diaoyu affair gives capital very little confidence to invest within Japan.… Continue reading

CANDLES TO CELEBRATE NATIONAL DAY – USDSGD

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A pleasant surprise on Hari Raya Puasa and the National Day , Singapore was rewarded with a big black candle in the USDSGD chart. We have broken into the Ichimoku cloud ! “Aug.… Continue reading

Of Countries and Banks – It’s A Gangster World Out There

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“Power tends to corrupt, and absolute power corrupts absolutely. Great men are almost always bad men.” ~ John Dalberg-Acton Zimbawee The first thing Mugabe did when he returned to power was to seize… Continue reading

Currency Crisis : India, Indonesia and …

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“JAKARTA, Indonesia—Investors are souring on Indonesia as growth slows and a contentious election approaches. Some investors see more trouble ahead. Indonesia is one of several emerging markets dealing with slowing growth, high inflation… Continue reading