Category Archive: Op-Eds

Ad Hoc Commentary – no external default, Republicans sowed the seed of their destruction for 2016

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As expected, they did not default externally and did an eleventh hour turnaround: “…The big issue on everyone’s mind is would the US government default. The short answer for external creditors is no.… Continue reading

Awaiting A Digital Outcome

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Down to the wire on this balmy public holiday in Singapore and the world is sitting on edge. It’s the Reuters article this morning that is giving the markets a boost, that a… Continue reading

Let’s Pretend That This Episode Is Over – Shutdown to Slowdown

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Tired of being buffeted around in the markets because of this debt ceiling deadlock, why not pretend it is over ? What’s next ? Shutdown to slowdown ?   US economic data has… Continue reading

What Is This, America ? You Are Getting Richer ! : Secrets To Riches

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Contradictions are hard to bear. Median U.S. household income in 2012 is $51,017 a year, down from $51,100 in 2011 http://money.cnn.com/2013/09/17/news/economy/poverty-income/index.html vs The United States posted a fifth successive year of rises in… Continue reading

Cut the Debt Ceiling ? And Other Thoughts

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Fun filled times with 2 sovereign defaults looming – Argentina and Puerto Rico. That is if we assume that the US will not default and assurances from professionals are that it will just… Continue reading

Ad Hoc Commentary – Yellen and US government ‘default’

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As we have said before, Yellen will be the new Fed Chief: https://tradehaven.net/market/ad-hoc-commentary-yellen-2014-clinton-2016/ http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-10-08/yellen-to-be-named-fed-chairman-as-obama-taps-first-female-chief.html The big issue on everyone’s mind is would the US government default. The short answer for external creditors is… Continue reading

Ad Hoc Commentary – debt ceiling relief by Polanizati​on?

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Even great ideas like the American Idol start suffering from viewer fatigue after the 12th inning: “…Total viewers equaled 14.3 million — the first time a finale has not reached the 20-million mark… Continue reading

Random Thoughts : Finders Keepers ?

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We like to read all these stories of crimes and punishment which are becoming a daily staple in the papers.  It is virtually impossible to keep up with the number of corruption cases… Continue reading

Rosy Ending to Q3 Part 2 : Not A Single Doji

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Not a single doji in sight for the monthly candles. The quarter will end in a nice way given the Hindenburg omen expires tomorrow ! Examining the quarterly performance, we find Nikkei and… Continue reading

Macro Views and Flows – The Taper is the least of our worries

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FOMC and Taper Standard Non Radical Views from the US Banks “Expectations going into this meeting are wide and varied – but consensus distills to a $10bn reduction in UST purchases with no… Continue reading