Category Archive: Forex

How About Long Term Military Rule ? Fx Thoughts

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Foreword : Tradehaven is an independent website striving to promote awareness on financial products and understanding of risks. The costs of maintaining a steady stream of articles is SGD 30k per annum and… Continue reading

So Right That It Went Wrong – When They Say Sell, Better Buy

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Strategists are an amazing breed of people which justifies their maleficent (harmful to all other creatures) salaries. Imagine, what are the chances of winning Toto more than once a year ? It is… Continue reading

Groundhog Day : The Jaws Of Death & Hindenburg Again ? May 2014 Edition

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2 people told me today that they are a tad confused about what to do in the markets and that they cannot see any clear trend developing. What about the 10Y US treasuries… Continue reading

Don’t Forget The Election Hangover And Post Vesak Violence

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Elections results in India this Friday, the 16th, and Indonesia over last weekend. Vesak holidays tomorrow may also herald the end of peaceful protests. Elections Remember Malaysia and Pakistan last year, as I… Continue reading

The Market Philharmonic Orchestra Presents – Symphony EUR Carnage

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Last night I watched a symphony orchestra It was called EUR Carnage. Target longs 1.3980 Target shorts 1.3880 Killed all in one clean algorithmic sweep. The most profitable algorithm this year has been… Continue reading

It Always Rains When The Car Is Washed – Volatility And Hedging Your Portfolio

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I decided to wash the car on Sunday which had all the appearance of a hot and sunny day and turned out so. But as Murphy’s Law would have it, a single lone… Continue reading

The Sorry State of Forex Markets

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A hedge funder was lamenting that he positioned for an ultra strong Non Farm payroll number but ended up losing money too because the markets then decided to blame it on Ukraine. Not… Continue reading

Myth and Reality – AUD

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As we approach a new peak in the Citi AUD Pain index*, along with a nice top in the Economic Surprise Index**, markets are turning long in the AUD, led by the usual… Continue reading

Month End : Losing Patience With Abe and Hello Kitty

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Read this. “Japan’s debt burden is extraordinary. Total debt to GDP tops 500%. Government expenditure is 20x government revenues. Interest on government debt is 25% of government revenue.” http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesgruber/2014/04/27/japan-deflation-to-end/ It is not that… Continue reading

Eating Lab Grown Meat, El Nino And Trading Against Markets – Fx Ideas

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I was wondering why 78% of polled Americans would not eat lab-grown meat when I remembered the “pink slime” scandal from 2 years ago. https://tradehaven.net/market/credit-default-sickness/ Yet at the same time we have China… Continue reading