Market Poll – UST, Dow, Crude Oil, Gold & Obama

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Questions :

1. The Next 5% Equity Move is Up or Down ?
2. The Next 10 bp in UST is Up or Down ?
3. The Next Move in Crude is Up or Down ?
4. Would you Buy Gold At Current Level ?
5. Will Obama Win The Elections ?

Seems the consensus is that Obama will win Presidency >90% thinks so. Pity none are Americans.

Rest of the world is bullish Dow and stocks in general, not quite sure if they are talking their positions given that the volumes lately have not been very encouraging.

As for views on rates, it is split right down the middle. Am I surprised ? Not since this has been identified as the biggest glaring anomaly by many skeptics.

Source : Bloomberg

Gold and Crude seem to be in the same camp which is baffling but I note a digital trend where if its Up for Gold its usually Down for Crude. This indicates huge indecision.

Lastly, I notice that the most common response is.

1. The Next 5% Equity Move is Up or Down ? UP
2. The Next 10 bp in UST is Up or Down ? UP
3. The Next Move in Crude is Up or Down ? DOWN
4. Would you Buy Gold At Current Level ? YES
5. Will Obama Win The Elections ? YES

Followed by this.

1. The Next 5% Equity Move is Up or Down ? UP
2. The Next 10 bp in UST is Up or Down ? UP
3. The Next Move in Crude is Up or Down ? UP
4. Would you Buy Gold At Current Level ? NO
5. Will Obama Win The Elections ? YES

The rest of the world ?

They are just too depressed.  http://www.zerohedge.com/news/manic-depressive-markets-are-back

 

Category : Market, Op-Eds